BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
21-41 | Road
102
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
14-48 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
HORNETS
100%
NETS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
202.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
BKN By 1-7 points
26.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
18.3%
CHA By 1-7 points
23.2%
CHA By 8-14 points
12.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
102.11
BROOKLYN
Charlotte
100.25
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Charlotte
105
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim
Nets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 202.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
CHA @ BKN
117 - 86
Dec 1, 2025
CHA @ BKN
103 - 116
Oct 22, 2025
BKN @ CHA
117 - 136
Mar 8, 2025
BKN @ CHA
102 - 105
Feb 10, 2025
CHA @ BKN
89 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.6% more
Brooklyn: 9.2
vs
Charlotte: 5.8
Blocks (L5)
+21.7% more
Brooklyn: 4.7
vs
Charlotte: 3.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.5%
Brooklyn: 85.8%
vs
Charlotte: 74.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Brooklyn: 33.9%
vs
Charlotte: 30.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
102.1
102
CHA Score
100.3
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 33.9
32.4 / 28.0
Assists
25.6 / 26.5
25.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.7
2.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 43.9
40.8 / 46.3
Free Throw %
74.3 / 85.8
87.5 / 80.0
Rebounding
47.7 / 38.2
50.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.8 / 9.2
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 14.2
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
BKN
CHA
BKN
ML
61%
60-39
53%
50-45
48%
40-44
59%
48-34
ATS
60%
59-40
52%
48-44-3
48%
40-44
59%
48-34
TTL
58%
57-42
57%
54-41
100%
84-0
100%
82-0
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