NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
31-26-5 | Road
3
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
31-25-5 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 3.98 | 0.892 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.97 | 0.870 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.98
GAA
Ldr 2.97
0.892 Ldr
Save %
0.870
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
SENATORS
100%
RANGERS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
NYR By 1 goal
19.7%
NYR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
OTT By 1 goal
12.1%
OTT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.77
NEW YORK
Ottawa
2.77
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Rangers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
OTT @ NYR
2 - 1
Jan 14, 2026
OTT @ NYR
8 - 4
Dec 4, 2025
NYR @ OTT
4 - 2
Mar 8, 2025
NYR @ OTT
3 - 4
Jan 21, 2025
OTT @ NYR
0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+30.9% more
New York: 31.1
vs
Ottawa: 21.5
Takeaways (L5)
+15.3% more
New York: 5.3
vs
Ottawa: 4.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.4% more
New York: 16.8
vs
Ottawa: 14.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+20.9% more
Ottawa: 29.8
vs
New York: 24.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
3.8
3
OTT Score
2.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.3 / 16.8
11.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
55.3 / 51.3
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
21.5 / 31.1
40.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
1566.0 / 893.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.8 / 24.6
37.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 5.3
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
NYR
OTT
NYR
ML
0%
0-3
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
0%
0-3
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
TTL
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
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