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BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

24-31-6  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Mar 8 • 6:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

39-21-3  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
GOALTENDER

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

#1 | Goaltender
@
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen None-None 3.12 0.914 --
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.12 GAA --
0.914 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
SABRES --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Florida)
SabresBUF (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sabres Cover

19.5%

Panthers Cover

80.5%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

BUF By 1 goal

8.0%

BUF By 2-3 goals

4.9%

FLA By 1 goal

18.5%

FLA By 2-3 goals

35.7%

AI Model Projected Score
2.78
BUFFALO
4.5
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
3
BUFFALO
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.7
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 27, 2026 BUF @ FLA 3 - 2
Feb 2, 2026 BUF @ FLA 5 - 3
Jan 12, 2026 FLA @ BUF 4 - 3
Oct 18, 2025 FLA @ BUF 0 - 3
Apr 12, 2025 BUF @ FLA 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.2% more
Florida: 34.5 vs Buffalo: 29.0
Takeaways (L5) +14.6% more
Florida: 5.3 vs Buffalo: 4.6
Power Play % (L5) +1.6%
Florida: 25.4% vs Buffalo: 23.8%
Blocked Shots (L5) +20.5% more
Buffalo: 12.8 vs Florida: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 2.8 0
FLA Score 4.5 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 10.1 / 12.8 5.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 47.8 / 46.7 55.6 / 44.4
Hits 28.1 / 27.3 29.0 / 19.0
Power Play % 2537.0 / 2377.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 34.5 / 29.0 36.0 / 21.0
Takeaways 5.3 / 4.6 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
BUF
FLA
BUF
ML
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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