DALLAS
STARSDAL
41-19-2 | Road
4
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
36-22-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Walman
#96 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 5.18 | 0.815 | -- |
| Jake Walman | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.18
GAA
--
0.815
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
OILERS
0%
STARS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
DAL By 1 goal
17.4%
DAL By 2-3 goals
18.4%
EDM By 1 goal
17.6%
EDM By 2-3 goals
18.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3.24
DALLAS
Edmonton
3.26
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
EDM @ DAL
2 - 7
Nov 25, 2025
DAL @ EDM
8 - 3
Nov 4, 2025
EDM @ DAL
3 - 4
May 29, 2025
EDM @ DAL
6 - 3
May 27, 2025
DAL @ EDM
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+75.0% more
Edmonton: 8.0
vs
Dallas: 4.6
Hits (L5)
+52.9% more
Edmonton: 20.3
vs
Dallas: 13.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.4% more
Edmonton: 31.0
vs
Dallas: 25.1
Power Play % (L5)
+20.0%
Edmonton: 50.6%
vs
Dallas: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.2
4
EDM Score
3.3
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.1 / 12.9
19.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
48.7 / 53.1
47.2 / 52.8
Hits
20.3 / 13.3
22.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
50.6 / 30.6
0.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
31.0 / 25.1
27.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
8.0 / 4.6
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
DAL
EDM
DAL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
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