DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
30-26-6 | Road
2
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
40-14-8 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 2.00 | 0.895 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.00
--
Save %
0.895
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
0%
CAPITALS
100%
RED WINGS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1 goal
19.5%
DET By 2-3 goals
26.2%
WSH By 1 goal
14.0%
WSH By 2-3 goals
12.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
3.77
DETROIT
Washington
3.09
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
WSH @ DET
4 - 3
Dec 21, 2025
WSH @ DET
2 - 3
Dec 20, 2025
DET @ WSH
5 - 2
Mar 18, 2025
DET @ WSH
1 - 4
Mar 7, 2025
DET @ WSH
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+24.9% more
Detroit: 22.5
vs
Washington: 16.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.3% more
Detroit: 34.2
vs
Washington: 28.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.9% more
Washington: 17.2
vs
Detroit: 15.4
Takeaways (L5)
+9.1% more
Washington: 3.8
vs
Detroit: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
3.8
2
WSH Score
3.1
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.2 / 15.4
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
46.4 / 44.8
52.7 / 47.3
Hits
16.9 / 22.5
16.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
23.4 / 16.9
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
28.6 / 34.2
28.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 3.5
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
DET
WSH
DET
ML
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…