ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

30-27-6  |  Road

4
FINAL
Fri, Mar 7 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

27-27-7  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
@
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jordan Binnington None-None 3.00 0.875 --
Lukas Dostal None-None 3.07 0.857 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.00 Ldr GAA 3.07
0.875 Ldr Save % 0.857
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
DUCKS
100%
BLUES --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (St. Louis)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

68.6%

Ducks Cover

31.4%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

STL By 1 goal

19.7%

STL By 2-3 goals

29.3%

ANA By 1 goal

12.3%

ANA By 2-3 goals

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3.58
ST. LOUIS
2.61
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
4
ST. LOUIS
2
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Blues (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 3, 2026 STL @ ANA 6 - 2
Mar 8, 2026 STL @ ANA 4 - 0
Dec 1, 2025 ANA @ STL 4 - 1
Mar 16, 2025 ANA @ STL 2 - 7
Mar 7, 2025 STL @ ANA 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +48.9% more
St. Louis: 4.5 vs Anaheim: 2.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +26.3% more
St. Louis: 31.5 vs Anaheim: 23.2
Power Play % (L5) +17.9%
St. Louis: 21.4% vs Anaheim: 3.5%
Blocked Shots (L5) +12.6% more
St. Louis: 15.2 vs Anaheim: 13.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 3.6 4
ANA Score 2.6 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.3 / 15.2 13.0 / 23.0
Faceoff % 42.2 / 52.6 44.7 / 55.3
Hits 22.0 / 23.0 29.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 3.5 / 21.4 25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 23.2 / 31.5 24.0 / 22.0
Takeaways 2.3 / 4.5 7.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
96%MONEY4%