CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
24-38 | Road
125
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
29-34 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
MAGIC
0%
BULLS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.8
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.8 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -4.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
CHI By 1-7 points
18.9%
CHI By 8-14 points
8.3%
ORL By 1-7 points
27.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
22.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
108.23
CHICAGO
Orlando
112.99
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.8
D
Sim
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
ORL @ CHI
127 - 103
Jan 2, 2026
ORL @ CHI
114 - 121
Dec 1, 2025
CHI @ ORL
120 - 125
Oct 25, 2025
CHI @ ORL
110 - 98
Mar 6, 2025
CHI @ ORL
125 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.7% more
Orlando: 5.5
vs
Chicago: 4.6
Turnovers (L5)
+18.4% more
Orlando: 14.3
vs
Chicago: 12.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Orlando: 35.1%
vs
Chicago: 30.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
Orlando: 79.0%
vs
Chicago: 76.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
108.2
125
ORL Score
113.0
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 30.8
27.3 / 37.5
Assists
23.0 / 29.7
26.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.5 / 4.6
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 46.2
46.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
79.0 / 76.9
85.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 45.4
33.0 / 48.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.6
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 12.1
12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
CHI
ORL
CHI
ML
61%
65-42
56%
54-42
56%
51-40
57%
46-35
ATS
64%
68-38-1
65%
62-33-1
56%
51-40
57%
46-35
TTL
57%
61-46
58%
56-40
100%
91-0
100%
81-0
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