DETROIT
PISTONSDET
35-27 | Road
115
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
32-29 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
PISTONS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
239.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
DET By 1-7 points
25.1%
DET By 8-14 points
14.9%
LAC By 1-7 points
25.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
15.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
119.68
DETROIT
LA
119.92
LA
Simulated Score
Detroit
107
DETROIT
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.2
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 239.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
LAC @ DET
98 - 92
Dec 28, 2025
DET @ LAC
99 - 112
Mar 5, 2025
DET @ LAC
115 - 123
Feb 24, 2025
LAC @ DET
97 - 106
Feb 10, 2024
DET @ LAC
106 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.8%
LA: 80.8%
vs
Detroit: 76.1%
Blocks (L5)
+61.3% more
Detroit: 8.1
vs
LA: 3.1
Turnovers (L5)
+27.4% more
Detroit: 16.5
vs
LA: 12.0
Steals (L5)
+19.8% more
Detroit: 11.9
vs
LA: 9.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
119.7
115
LAC Score
119.9
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 34.6
54.2 / 31.4
Assists
26.9 / 31.0
18.0 / 27.0
Blocks
3.1 / 8.1
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 52.4
55.0 / 52.3
Free Throw %
80.8 / 76.1
84.6 / 73.7
Rebounding
40.4 / 43.8
33.0 / 34.0
Steals
9.5 / 11.9
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 16.5
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
DET
LAC
DET
ML
60%
59-40
55%
64-53
55%
45-37
49%
47-49
ATS
66%
65-33-1
53%
60-54-3
55%
45-37
49%
47-49
TTL
59%
58-40-1
60%
70-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
96-0
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