OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
30-25-5 | Road
4
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
19-35-7 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 2.96 | 0.850 | -- |
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 3.95 | 0.846 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.96 Ldr
GAA
3.95
0.850 Ldr
Save %
0.846
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
BLACKHAWKS
0%
SENATORS
--
BLACKHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CHI -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
OTT By 1 goal
9.2%
OTT By 2-3 goals
6.1%
CHI By 1 goal
19.1%
CHI By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
2.21
OTTAWA
Chicago
3.71
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blackhawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.5
D
Sim
Senators (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 20, 2025
CHI @ OTT
4 - 6
Oct 28, 2025
OTT @ CHI
3 - 7
Apr 15, 2025
CHI @ OTT
4 - 3
Mar 5, 2025
OTT @ CHI
4 - 3
Mar 28, 2024
CHI @ OTT
0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+23.5% more
Chicago: 4.6
vs
Ottawa: 3.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.5% more
Chicago: 16.7
vs
Ottawa: 15.0
Power Play % (L5)
+3.2%
Chicago: 26.7%
vs
Ottawa: 23.5%
Hits (L5)
+35.9% more
Ottawa: 23.7
vs
Chicago: 15.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
2.2
4
CHI Score
3.7
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.7 / 15.0
10.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
41.2 / 54.0
42.2 / 57.8
Hits
15.2 / 23.7
19.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
26.7 / 23.5
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.3 / 31.7
20.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 3.7
1.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
OTT
CHI
OTT
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1-1
67%
2-1
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