WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
39-14-8 | Road
3
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
31-26-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 1.87 | 0.882 | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 2.81 | 0.885 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.87 Ldr
GAA
2.81
0.882
Save %
Ldr 0.885
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
100%
RANGERS
0%
CAPITALS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
WSH By 1 goal
16.6%
WSH By 2-3 goals
16.6%
NYR By 1 goal
18.3%
NYR By 2-3 goals
20.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
4.15
WASHINGTON
New York
4.35
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
WSH @ NYR
1 - 8
Dec 31, 2025
NYR @ WSH
3 - 6
Dec 23, 2025
NYR @ WSH
7 - 3
Oct 12, 2025
WSH @ NYR
1 - 0
Mar 5, 2025
WSH @ NYR
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+99.8% more
New York: 28.6
vs
Washington: 14.3
Takeaways (L5)
+51.8% more
New York: 6.5
vs
Washington: 4.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.8% more
New York: 18.1
vs
Washington: 16.4
Power Play % (L5)
+9.2%
Washington: 22.6%
vs
New York: 13.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
4.2
3
NYR Score
4.4
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.1 / 16.4
14.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
48.2 / 48.5
57.6 / 42.4
Hits
28.6 / 14.3
36.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
13.4 / 22.6
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
28.5 / 30.0
17.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
6.5 / 4.3
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
WSH
NYR
WSH
ML
80%
4-1
100%
3-0
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
ATS
80%
4-1
100%
3-0
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
TTL
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…