TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
19-42 | Road
114
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
29-33 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
MAGIC
0%
RAPTORS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
207.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
TOR By 1-7 points
21.1%
TOR By 8-14 points
10.2%
ORL By 1-7 points
27.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
20.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
101.94
TORONTO
Orlando
105.31
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Toronto
118
TORONTO
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.4
D
Sim
Raptors (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 207.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
ORL @ TOR
87 - 139
Jan 30, 2026
TOR @ ORL
120 - 130
Dec 29, 2025
ORL @ TOR
106 - 107
Mar 4, 2025
TOR @ ORL
114 - 113
Mar 2, 2025
TOR @ ORL
104 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+91.3% more
Orlando: 5.7
vs
Toronto: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.8%
Orlando: 79.4%
vs
Toronto: 75.6%
Assists (L5)
+19.4% more
Toronto: 25.4
vs
Orlando: 20.5
Turnovers (L5)
+11.4% more
Toronto: 16.4
vs
Orlando: 14.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
101.9
114
ORL Score
105.3
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 31.6
41.7 / 40.0
Assists
20.5 / 25.4
28.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.7 / 3.0
5.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 45.0
48.2 / 47.5
Free Throw %
79.4 / 75.6
78.3 / 74.3
Rebounding
41.2 / 43.5
35.0 / 48.0
Steals
6.3 / 7.1
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 16.4
14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
TOR
ORL
TOR
ML
61%
65-42
55%
57-47
56%
51-40
55%
48-39
ATS
64%
68-38-1
61%
62-40-2
56%
51-40
55%
48-39
TTL
57%
61-46
60%
62-42
100%
91-0
100%
87-0
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