CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
50-10 | Road
139
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
24-37 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
BULLS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.6
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.6 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -5.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
27.0%
CLE By 8-14 points
23.7%
CHI By 1-7 points
17.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
7.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
123.01
CLEVELAND
Chicago
117.45
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
118
CLEVELAND
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.6
D
Sim
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 240.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
CLE @ CHI
115 - 110
Dec 19, 2025
CHI @ CLE
136 - 125
Dec 17, 2025
CLE @ CHI
111 - 127
Nov 8, 2025
CHI @ CLE
122 - 128
Oct 9, 2025
CLE @ CHI
112 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+9.7% more
Cleveland: 47.8
vs
Chicago: 43.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
Cleveland: 42.9%
vs
Chicago: 33.7%
Blocks (L5)
+9.1% more
Cleveland: 4.3
vs
Chicago: 3.9
Turnovers (L5)
+13.0% more
Chicago: 14.7
vs
Cleveland: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
123.0
139
CHI Score
117.5
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 42.9
25.0 / 35.4
Assists
28.6 / 26.3
32.0 / 27.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.3
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 48.2
44.3 / 46.9
Free Throw %
80.1 / 81.3
70.6 / 90.9
Rebounding
43.2 / 47.8
50.0 / 53.0
Steals
8.4 / 8.1
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 13.0
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CLE
CHI
CLE
ML
56%
54-42
60%
69-46
57%
46-35
56%
55-44
ATS
65%
62-33-1
67%
75-37-3
57%
46-35
56%
55-44
TTL
58%
56-40
59%
68-47
100%
81-0
100%
99-0
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