LA

CLIPPERSLAC

32-28  |  Road

117
FINAL
Tue, Mar 4 • 10:00 PM ET
PHX Arena
View Odds Details →

PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

28-33  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
📊
SUNS
100%
CLIPPERS --
SUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (LA)
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 SunsPHX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

57.2%

Suns Cover

42.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

LAC By 1-7 points

26.7%

LAC By 8-14 points

18.3%

PHX By 1-7 points

23.3%

PHX By 8-14 points

12.4%

AI Model Projected Score
111.22
LA
109.4
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
118
LA
122
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Clippers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Suns Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Clippers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.8
D
Sim Suns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 220.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 1, 2026 LAC @ PHX 117 - 93
Nov 8, 2025 PHX @ LAC 114 - 103
Nov 6, 2025 LAC @ PHX 102 - 115
Oct 24, 2025 PHX @ LAC 102 - 129
Mar 4, 2025 LAC @ PHX 117 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +54.7% more
LA: 10.3 vs Phoenix: 4.7
Blocks (L5) +76.3% more
Phoenix: 5.6 vs LA: 3.2
Turnovers (L5) +16.8% more
Phoenix: 16.9 vs LA: 14.5
Assists (L5) +12.4% more
Phoenix: 29.1 vs LA: 25.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 111.2 117
PHX Score 109.4 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.4 / 32.6 41.2 / 26.7
Assists 29.1 / 25.9 31.0 / 29.0
Blocks 5.6 / 3.2 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 49.6 / 45.1 51.2 / 51.8
Free Throw % 79.3 / 78.6 85.2 / 85.2
Rebounding 47.3 / 42.2 37.0 / 37.0
Steals 4.7 / 10.3 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 16.9 / 14.5 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
89%MONEY11%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
PHX Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
PHX Advantage
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6