AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
SUNS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
26.7%
LAC By 8-14 points
18.3%
PHX By 1-7 points
23.3%
PHX By 8-14 points
12.4%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
111.22
LA
Phoenix
109.4
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
LA
118
LA
Phoenix
122
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.8
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
LAC @ PHX
117 - 93
Nov 8, 2025
PHX @ LAC
114 - 103
Nov 6, 2025
LAC @ PHX
102 - 115
Oct 24, 2025
PHX @ LAC
102 - 129
Mar 4, 2025
LAC @ PHX
117 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+54.7% more
LA: 10.3
vs
Phoenix: 4.7
Blocks (L5)
+76.3% more
Phoenix: 5.6
vs
LA: 3.2
Turnovers (L5)
+16.8% more
Phoenix: 16.9
vs
LA: 14.5
Assists (L5)
+12.4% more
Phoenix: 29.1
vs
LA: 25.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
111.2
117
PHX Score
109.4
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 32.6
41.2 / 26.7
Assists
29.1 / 25.9
31.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.6 / 3.2
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 45.1
51.2 / 51.8
Free Throw %
79.3 / 78.6
85.2 / 85.2
Rebounding
47.3 / 42.2
37.0 / 37.0
Steals
4.7 / 10.3
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
16.9 / 14.5
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
LAC
PHX
LAC
ML
57%
60-45
60%
59-40
51%
45-43
55%
45-37
ATS
58%
59-43-3
66%
65-33-1
51%
45-43
55%
45-37
TTL
59%
61-42-2
59%
58-40-1
100%
88-0
100%
82-0