WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
42-15-4 | Road
2
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
27-26-7 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 3.08 | 0.897 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 2.02 | 0.929 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.08
GAA
Ldr 2.02
0.897
Save %
Ldr 0.929
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
JETS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
WPG By 1 goal
14.5%
WPG By 2-3 goals
12.8%
NYI By 1 goal
19.3%
NYI By 2-3 goals
25.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
2.93
WINNIPEG
New York
3.51
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Jets (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
NYI @ WPG
4 - 5
Oct 13, 2025
WPG @ NYI
5 - 2
Mar 4, 2025
WPG @ NYI
2 - 3
Feb 7, 2025
NYI @ WPG
3 - 4
Mar 23, 2024
WPG @ NYI
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.4% more
New York: 13.8
vs
Winnipeg: 12.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.3%
New York: 51.9%
vs
Winnipeg: 48.6%
Power Play % (L5)
+1.9%
New York: 6.1%
vs
Winnipeg: 4.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+32.6% more
Winnipeg: 5.7
vs
New York: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
2.9
2
NYI Score
3.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 12.5
26.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
51.9 / 48.6
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
20.3 / 23.7
34.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
6.1 / 4.1
50.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal
28.1 / 29.9
29.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 5.7
4.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
WPG
NYI
WPG
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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