PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
24-29-10 | Road
1
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
35-24-2 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Samuel Girard
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Girard | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 1.00 | 0.970 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.970
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
PENGUINS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
PIT By 1 goal
16.0%
PIT By 2-3 goals
15.4%
COL By 1 goal
18.6%
COL By 2-3 goals
22.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
2.71
PITTSBURGH
Colorado
3.02
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
COL @ PIT
6 - 2
Mar 4, 2025
PIT @ COL
1 - 4
Dec 10, 2024
COL @ PIT
6 - 2
Mar 24, 2024
PIT @ COL
4 - 5
Oct 26, 2023
COL @ PIT
0 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+33.1% more
Colorado: 15.2
vs
Pittsburgh: 11.4
Power Play % (L5)
+15.1%
Colorado: 38.1%
vs
Pittsburgh: 22.9%
Hits (L5)
+18.5% more
Pittsburgh: 20.7
vs
Colorado: 16.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
2.7
1
COL Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 11.4
15.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
52.7 / 53.1
43.4 / 56.6
Hits
16.9 / 20.7
12.0 / 8.0
Power Play %
38.1 / 22.9
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.8 / 31.4
25.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 4.9
5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
PIT
COL
PIT
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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