ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
26-26-7 | Road
6
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
35-21-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 2.00 | 0.943 | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
--
0.943
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
OILERS
0%
DUCKS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
ANA By 1 goal
11.3%
ANA By 2-3 goals
8.3%
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
31.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2.06
ANAHEIM
Edmonton
3.2
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Anaheim
2
ANAHEIM
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
EDM @ ANA
5 - 2
Apr 30, 2026
EDM @ ANA
2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026
ANA @ EDM
1 - 4
Apr 24, 2026
EDM @ ANA
4 - 7
Apr 22, 2026
ANA @ EDM
6 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+125.6% more
Edmonton: 5.5
vs
Anaheim: 2.4
Power Play % (L5)
+31.0%
Edmonton: 38.8%
vs
Anaheim: 7.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.1% more
Edmonton: 15.6
vs
Anaheim: 13.5
Hits (L5)
+33.6% more
Anaheim: 24.1
vs
Edmonton: 16.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.1
6
EDM Score
3.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.6 / 13.5
11.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
47.0 / 50.9
56.1 / 43.9
Hits
16.0 / 24.1
28.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
38.8 / 7.8
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.2 / 26.8
35.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 2.4
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
ANA
EDM
ANA
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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