PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
27-34 | Road
119
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
21-38 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
76ERS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
POR By 1-7 points
22.0%
POR By 8-14 points
11.1%
PHI By 1-7 points
27.1%
PHI By 8-14 points
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
110.2
PORTLAND
Philadelphia
112.91
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Portland
118
PORTLAND
Philadelphia
124
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.7
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 223.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
POR @ PHI
103 - 109
Feb 9, 2026
PHI @ POR
118 - 135
Mar 3, 2025
POR @ PHI
119 - 102
Dec 30, 2024
PHI @ POR
125 - 103
Jan 29, 2024
PHI @ POR
104 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+18.1% more
Philadelphia: 4.3
vs
Portland: 3.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.5%
Philadelphia: 38.0%
vs
Portland: 36.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+26.3% more
Portland: 18.7
vs
Philadelphia: 13.8
Assists (L5)
+15.2% more
Portland: 27.6
vs
Philadelphia: 23.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
110.2
119
PHI Score
112.9
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 36.5
31.4 / 31.4
Assists
23.4 / 27.6
27.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.6
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 47.9
43.2 / 48.5
Free Throw %
76.8 / 76.0
69.2 / 63.2
Rebounding
40.5 / 44.2
43.0 / 61.0
Steals
9.7 / 9.5
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 18.7
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
POR
PHI
POR
ML
63%
69-40
53%
56-49
48%
45-48
55%
49-40
ATS
65%
71-38
62%
65-39-1
48%
45-48
55%
49-40
TTL
55%
60-49
56%
58-46-1
100%
93-0
100%
89-0
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