NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
27-25-7 | Road
0
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
30-26-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 3.13 | 0.885 | -- |
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.13
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.885
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
RANGERS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
RANGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
NYI By 1 goal
10.2%
NYI By 2-3 goals
7.1%
NYR By 1 goal
19.5%
NYR By 2-3 goals
32.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.56
NEW YORK
New York
3.89
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
New York
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Rangers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 5
Jan 29, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026
NYR @ NYI
2 - 5
Dec 27, 2025
NYR @ NYI
0 - 2
Nov 8, 2025
NYI @ NYR
5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+45.5% more
New York: 6.2
vs
New York: 4.2
Hits (L5)
+41.0% more
New York: 30.9
vs
New York: 21.9
Power Play % (L5)
+11.0%
New York: 20.1%
vs
New York: 9.1%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.8% more
New York: 16.2
vs
New York: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.6
0
NYR Score
3.9
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.2 / 14.7
22.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
46.3 / 53.9
52.0 / 48.0
Hits
30.9 / 21.9
24.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
2009.0 / 911.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.2 / 31.7
27.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
6.2 / 4.2
7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
NYI
NYR
NYI
ML
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
67%
2-1
ATS
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
TTL
60%
3-2
100%
2-0-1
60%
3-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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