BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
28-25-8 | Road
0
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
34-22-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 1.03 | 0.955 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.03
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.955
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
WILD
100%
BRUINS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1 goal
18.8%
BOS By 2-3 goals
22.8%
MIN By 1 goal
15.6%
MIN By 2-3 goals
14.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.62
BOSTON
Minnesota
2.24
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Bruins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
BOS @ MIN
1 - 4
Mar 28, 2026
MIN @ BOS
3 - 6
Dec 14, 2025
BOS @ MIN
2 - 6
Mar 2, 2025
BOS @ MIN
0 - 1
Feb 4, 2025
MIN @ BOS
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.7% more
Boston: 30.5
vs
Minnesota: 23.3
Hits (L5)
+11.3% more
Boston: 22.6
vs
Minnesota: 20.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.4%
Boston: 47.1%
vs
Minnesota: 43.7%
Takeaways (L5)
+14.8% more
Minnesota: 4.5
vs
Boston: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.6
0
MIN Score
2.2
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.8 / 16.9
7.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
43.7 / 47.1
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
20.0 / 22.6
22.0 / 27.0
Power Play %
2643.0 / 2637.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.3 / 30.5
22.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.5 / 3.9
2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
BOS
MIN
BOS
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
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