CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
28-23-8 | Road
1
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
34-22-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 1.90 | 0.939 | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 0.95 | 0.938 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.90
GAA
Ldr 0.95
0.939 Ldr
Save %
0.938
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
HURRICANES
0%
FLAMES
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CGY By 1 goal
10.3%
CGY By 2-3 goals
7.2%
CAR By 1 goal
19.5%
CAR By 2-3 goals
32.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
1.52
CALGARY
Carolina
2.83
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
CAR @ CGY
4 - 5
Nov 30, 2025
CGY @ CAR
0 - 1
Mar 2, 2025
CGY @ CAR
1 - 2
Oct 24, 2024
CAR @ CGY
4 - 2
Mar 10, 2024
CGY @ CAR
2 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+89.2% more
Carolina: 6.2
vs
Calgary: 3.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.7% more
Carolina: 33.3
vs
Calgary: 27.0
Power Play % (L5)
+17.3%
Carolina: 22.9%
vs
Calgary: 5.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.4%
Carolina: 52.3%
vs
Calgary: 48.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
1.5
1
CAR Score
2.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.9 / 20.4
13.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
52.3 / 48.9
50.9 / 49.1
Hits
17.0 / 25.9
12.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
22.9 / 5.6
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
33.3 / 27.0
33.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
6.2 / 3.3
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
CGY
CAR
CGY
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
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