BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
21-38 | Road
94
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
33-27 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
PISTONS
0%
NETS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.3 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
BKN By 1-7 points
21.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
10.2%
DET By 1-7 points
27.3%
DET By 8-14 points
20.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Brooklyn
111.19
BROOKLYN
Detroit
114.5
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Brooklyn
118
BROOKLYN
Detroit
105
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.3
D
Sim
Nets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 225.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
DET @ BKN
138 - 100
Mar 7, 2026
BKN @ DET
107 - 105
Feb 1, 2026
BKN @ DET
77 - 130
Nov 7, 2025
DET @ BKN
125 - 107
Mar 1, 2025
BKN @ DET
94 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+22.7% more
Detroit: 30.2
vs
Brooklyn: 24.6
Steals (L5)
+10.1% more
Detroit: 12.2
vs
Brooklyn: 11.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
Detroit: 49.3%
vs
Brooklyn: 42.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.2%
Detroit: 36.3%
vs
Brooklyn: 30.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BKN Score
111.2
94
DET Score
114.5
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 30.1
42.9 / 15.4
Assists
30.2 / 24.6
31.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.7 / 4.8
15.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 42.1
54.2 / 30.5
Free Throw %
71.8 / 82.5
86.2 / 85.7
Rebounding
45.7 / 44.1
47.0 / 38.0
Steals
12.2 / 11.0
5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 17.7
27.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
BKN
DET
BKN
ML
55%
64-53
53%
50-45
49%
47-49
59%
48-34
ATS
53%
60-54-3
52%
48-44-3
49%
47-49
59%
48-34
TTL
60%
70-46-1
57%
54-41
100%
96-0
100%
82-0
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