BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
27-25-8 | Road
3
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
24-28-9 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Nikita Zadorov
#91 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Zadorov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
PENGUINS
100%
BRUINS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1 goal
18.7%
BOS By 2-3 goals
22.3%
PIT By 1 goal
15.9%
PIT By 2-3 goals
15.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.56
BOSTON
Pittsburgh
2.23
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
BOS @ PIT
4 - 5
Mar 3, 2026
PIT @ BOS
1 - 2
Jan 11, 2026
PIT @ BOS
0 - 1
Apr 13, 2025
BOS @ PIT
4 - 1
Mar 1, 2025
BOS @ PIT
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.5% more
Boston: 14.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 12.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.2% more
Boston: 32.7
vs
Pittsburgh: 28.7
Power Play % (L5)
+7.6%
Boston: 14.6%
vs
Pittsburgh: 6.9%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.0%
Pittsburgh: 55.0%
vs
Boston: 51.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.6
3
PIT Score
2.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.4 / 14.8
7.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
55.0 / 51.9
62.7 / 37.3
Hits
23.3 / 24.9
27.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
6.9 / 14.6
14.3 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.7 / 32.7
33.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 4.4
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
BOS
PIT
BOS
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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