CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
28-22-8 | Road
0
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
36-21-3 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brayden Pachal
#94 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Pachal | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
PANTHERS
0%
FLAMES
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
CGY By 1 goal
12.8%
CGY By 2-3 goals
10.3%
FLA By 1 goal
19.7%
FLA By 2-3 goals
28.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.39
CALGARY
Florida
3.27
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Florida
2
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Flames (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
FLA @ CGY
1 - 4
Nov 28, 2025
CGY @ FLA
5 - 3
Mar 1, 2025
CGY @ FLA
0 - 3
Dec 14, 2024
FLA @ CGY
0 - 3
Mar 9, 2024
CGY @ FLA
1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+72.5% more
Florida: 5.8
vs
Calgary: 3.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.6% more
Florida: 33.2
vs
Calgary: 28.9
Power Play % (L5)
+7.2%
Florida: 15.7%
vs
Calgary: 8.4%
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.5%
Florida: 50.7%
vs
Calgary: 49.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.4
0
FLA Score
3.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.5 / 20.1
8.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
50.7 / 49.2
51.6 / 48.4
Hits
25.1 / 24.4
17.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
1566.0 / 842.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
33.2 / 28.9
42.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
5.8 / 3.4
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
CGY
FLA
CGY
ML
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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Brad Marchand Forced Off Ice with Apparent Leg Injury in Panther…
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