EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
34-21-4 | Road
3
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
34-21-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Frederik Andersen
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Andersen | None-None | 2.05 | 0.933 | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.05
GAA
--
0.933
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
OILERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
EDM By 1 goal
15.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
13.8%
CAR By 1 goal
19.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
24.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.57
EDMONTON
Carolina
3.05
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
CAR @ EDM
6 - 3
Nov 15, 2025
EDM @ CAR
4 - 3
Mar 1, 2025
EDM @ CAR
3 - 1
Oct 22, 2024
CAR @ EDM
3 - 2
Dec 6, 2023
CAR @ EDM
1 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.7% more
Carolina: 32.0
vs
Edmonton: 26.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.9%
Carolina: 53.9%
vs
Edmonton: 45.0%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+41.5% more
Edmonton: 15.9
vs
Carolina: 9.3
Power Play % (L5)
+11.4%
Edmonton: 33.3%
vs
Carolina: 21.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
2.6
3
CAR Score
3.1
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
9.3 / 15.9
14.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
53.9 / 45.0
49.1 / 50.9
Hits
18.5 / 18.0
14.0 / 12.0
Power Play %
21.8 / 33.3
25.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
32.0 / 26.8
36.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.7 / 6.2
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
EDM
CAR
EDM
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
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