PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
26-33 | Road
121
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
21-37 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
NETS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.8
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.8 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -2.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
POR By 1-7 points
21.9%
POR By 8-14 points
10.9%
BKN By 1-7 points
27.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
19.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
107.92
PORTLAND
Brooklyn
110.74
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Portland
118
PORTLAND
Brooklyn
124
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.8
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
BKN @ POR
99 - 134
Mar 16, 2026
POR @ BKN
114 - 95
Feb 28, 2025
POR @ BKN
121 - 102
Jan 14, 2025
BKN @ POR
132 - 114
Jan 17, 2024
BKN @ POR
103 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+13.4% more
Brooklyn: 6.2
vs
Portland: 5.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.2%
Brooklyn: 81.2%
vs
Portland: 75.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Portland: 46.1%
vs
Brooklyn: 42.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Portland: 35.0%
vs
Brooklyn: 33.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
107.9
121
BKN Score
110.7
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 35.0
24.1 / 41.7
Assists
26.9 / 27.8
20.0 / 31.0
Blocks
6.2 / 5.4
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 46.1
41.4 / 57.7
Free Throw %
81.2 / 75.0
85.2 / 59.3
Rebounding
43.6 / 46.9
45.0 / 36.0
Steals
10.1 / 9.8
13.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 16.1
21.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
POR
BKN
POR
ML
53%
50-45
53%
56-49
59%
48-34
55%
49-40
ATS
52%
48-44-3
62%
65-39-1
59%
48-34
55%
49-40
TTL
57%
54-41
56%
58-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
89-0
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