MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
34-21-4 | Road
2
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
34-24-2 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Mackenzie Blackwood
#39 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 4.06 | 0.862 | -- |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | None-None | 2.00 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.06
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.862
Save %
Ldr 0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
WILD
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
MIN By 1 goal
8.4%
MIN By 2-3 goals
5.3%
COL By 1 goal
18.7%
COL By 2-3 goals
35.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.02
MINNESOTA
Colorado
3.67
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.7
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 13, 2026
MIN @ COL
3 - 4
May 11, 2026
COL @ MIN
5 - 2
May 9, 2026
COL @ MIN
1 - 5
May 5, 2026
MIN @ COL
2 - 5
May 3, 2026
MIN @ COL
6 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+75.9% more
Colorado: 5.7
vs
Minnesota: 3.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+31.2% more
Colorado: 32.7
vs
Minnesota: 24.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.1%
Colorado: 49.8%
vs
Minnesota: 44.8%
Hits (L5)
+22.7% more
Minnesota: 23.0
vs
Colorado: 17.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.0
2
COL Score
3.7
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.2 / 16.7
19.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
49.8 / 44.8
58.5 / 41.5
Hits
17.8 / 23.0
15.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
23.8 / 23.0
66.7 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
32.7 / 24.9
30.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
5.7 / 3.2
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
MIN
COL
MIN
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
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