NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
25-25-7 | Road
2
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
27-24-8 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 1.00 | 0.974 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.06 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.06
0.974 Ldr
Save %
0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
BRUINS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
NYI By 1 goal
15.3%
NYI By 2-3 goals
14.2%
BOS By 1 goal
19.0%
BOS By 2-3 goals
23.5%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.68
NEW YORK
Boston
3.12
BOSTON
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Boston
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 26, 2025
BOS @ NYI
3 - 1
Nov 4, 2025
BOS @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 28, 2025
NYI @ BOS
2 - 5
Feb 27, 2025
NYI @ BOS
2 - 1
Jan 5, 2025
NYI @ BOS
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+29.7% more
Boston: 5.6
vs
New York: 4.3
Power Play % (L5)
+20.1%
Boston: 21.8%
vs
New York: 1.7%
Hits (L5)
+19.2% more
New York: 25.8
vs
Boston: 20.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.1% more
New York: 15.4
vs
Boston: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.7
2
BOS Score
3.1
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.2 / 15.4
18.0 / 25.0
Faceoff %
53.8 / 52.6
48.2 / 51.8
Hits
20.8 / 25.8
33.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
2184.0 / 174.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.5 / 34.3
39.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 4.3
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NYI
BOS
NYI
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
75%
3-1
100%
2-0-1
0%
0-4
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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