EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
34-20-4 | Road
3
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
35-21-3 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
OILERS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
EDM By 1 goal
18.3%
EDM By 2-3 goals
20.9%
FLA By 1 goal
16.5%
FLA By 2-3 goals
16.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3.58
EDMONTON
Florida
3.37
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Florida
3
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oilers (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
FLA @ EDM
4 - 0
Nov 22, 2025
EDM @ FLA
6 - 3
Jun 17, 2025
EDM @ FLA
1 - 5
Jun 14, 2025
FLA @ EDM
5 - 2
Jun 12, 2025
EDM @ FLA
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+34.8% more
Edmonton: 13.4
vs
Florida: 8.7
Power Play % (L5)
+26.4%
Edmonton: 49.9%
vs
Florida: 23.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+19.8% more
Edmonton: 7.8
vs
Florida: 6.2
Hits (L5)
+26.7% more
Florida: 24.7
vs
Edmonton: 19.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.6
3
FLA Score
3.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
8.7 / 13.4
17.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
48.8 / 44.8
54.5 / 45.5
Hits
24.7 / 19.5
26.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
2350.0 / 4988.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.8 / 26.7
36.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
6.2 / 7.8
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
EDM
FLA
EDM
ML
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
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