ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
27-26-6 | Road
5
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
38-12-8 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 2.00 | 0.889 | -- |
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 4.10 | 0.778 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
4.10
0.889 Ldr
Save %
0.778
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
CAPITALS
0%
BLUES
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
STL By 1 goal
12.6%
STL By 2-3 goals
10.0%
WSH By 1 goal
19.7%
WSH By 2-3 goals
28.7%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
2.91
ST. LOUIS
Washington
3.83
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
WSH @ STL
0 - 3
Nov 5, 2025
STL @ WSH
1 - 6
Feb 27, 2025
STL @ WSH
5 - 2
Nov 9, 2024
WSH @ STL
8 - 1
Jan 20, 2024
WSH @ STL
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+19.3%
Washington: 48.0%
vs
St. Louis: 28.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.3% more
Washington: 14.6
vs
St. Louis: 12.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.1% more
Washington: 30.3
vs
St. Louis: 26.7
Takeaways (L5)
+40.5% more
St. Louis: 5.0
vs
Washington: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
2.9
5
WSH Score
3.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 12.6
10.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
51.6 / 60.1
34.0 / 66.0
Hits
17.5 / 23.5
18.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
4802.0 / 2870.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.3 / 26.7
18.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
3.0 / 5.0
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
STL
WSH
STL
ML
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
Contextual Game News
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