WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
41-14-3 | Road
4
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
29-24-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 1.00 | 0.958 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 3.04 | 0.947 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.04
0.958 Ldr
Save %
0.947
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
100%
SENATORS
0%
JETS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
WPG By 1 goal
14.8%
WPG By 2-3 goals
13.3%
OTT By 1 goal
19.2%
OTT By 2-3 goals
24.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3.49
WINNIPEG
Ottawa
4.02
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Senators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Jets (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
WPG @ OTT
2 - 4
Dec 15, 2025
OTT @ WPG
3 - 2
Feb 26, 2025
WPG @ OTT
4 - 1
Dec 28, 2024
OTT @ WPG
2 - 4
Mar 30, 2024
OTT @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+35.4% more
Ottawa: 26.8
vs
Winnipeg: 19.8
Power Play % (L5)
+14.4%
Ottawa: 28.4%
vs
Winnipeg: 14.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+13.3%
Ottawa: 57.6%
vs
Winnipeg: 44.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.0% more
Ottawa: 15.9
vs
Winnipeg: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.5
4
OTT Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 14.3
14.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
57.6 / 44.4
60.0 / 40.0
Hits
26.8 / 19.8
29.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
2835.0 / 1396.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.3 / 30.4
24.0 / 39.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 4.2
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
WPG
OTT
WPG
ML
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
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