CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
47-10 | Road
122
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
29-30 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
MAGIC
0%
CAVALIERS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
CLE By 1-7 points
22.7%
CLE By 8-14 points
11.8%
ORL By 1-7 points
27.0%
ORL By 8-14 points
19.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
117.9
CLEVELAND
Orlando
120.17
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
108
CLEVELAND
Orlando
101
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.3
D
Sim
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 238.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 209.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
ORL @ CLE
131 - 136
Mar 11, 2026
CLE @ ORL
122 - 128
Jan 26, 2026
ORL @ CLE
98 - 114
Jan 24, 2026
CLE @ ORL
119 - 105
Mar 16, 2025
ORL @ CLE
108 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+60.9% more
Orlando: 6.6
vs
Cleveland: 4.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.4%
Orlando: 76.5%
vs
Cleveland: 74.2%
Assists (L5)
+22.6% more
Cleveland: 28.6
vs
Orlando: 22.2
Turnovers (L5)
+8.1% more
Cleveland: 14.9
vs
Orlando: 13.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
117.9
122
ORL Score
120.2
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 36.1
17.9 / 59.4
Assists
22.2 / 28.6
21.0 / 25.0
Blocks
6.6 / 4.1
8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 50.0
36.7 / 56.3
Free Throw %
76.5 / 74.2
78.6 / 81.3
Rebounding
47.7 / 51.9
35.0 / 47.0
Steals
7.7 / 8.3
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 14.9
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
CLE
ORL
CLE
ML
61%
65-42
60%
69-46
56%
51-40
56%
55-44
ATS
64%
68-38-1
67%
75-37-3
56%
51-40
56%
55-44
TTL
57%
61-46
59%
68-47
100%
91-0
100%
99-0
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