ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
25-24-7 | Road
2
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
23-27-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 3.11 | 0.919 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 2.00 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.11
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.919 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
SABRES
0%
DUCKS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
ANA By 1 goal
12.0%
ANA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
3.05
ANAHEIM
Buffalo
4.06
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
BUF @ ANA
5 - 6
Jan 10, 2026
ANA @ BUF
3 - 5
Feb 25, 2025
ANA @ BUF
2 - 3
Nov 22, 2024
BUF @ ANA
3 - 2
Feb 19, 2024
ANA @ BUF
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+22.8%
Buffalo: 24.3%
vs
Anaheim: 1.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.4% more
Buffalo: 16.8
vs
Anaheim: 15.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.5% more
Buffalo: 30.1
vs
Anaheim: 27.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.4%
Buffalo: 49.4%
vs
Anaheim: 41.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
3.1
2
BUF Score
4.1
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.8 / 15.4
11.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
49.4 / 41.0
56.7 / 43.3
Hits
24.9 / 26.6
33.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
24.3 / 1.5
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
30.1 / 27.8
37.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 4.5
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
ANA
BUF
ANA
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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