NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
28-25-4 | Road
5
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
25-24-7 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 1.00 | 0.973 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 7.50 | 0.545 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
7.50
0.973 Ldr
Save %
0.545
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
RANGERS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYR By 1 goal
13.8%
NYR By 2-3 goals
11.7%
NYI By 1 goal
19.5%
NYI By 2-3 goals
26.5%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.89
NEW YORK
New York
3.6
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 5
Jan 29, 2026
NYI @ NYR
2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026
NYR @ NYI
2 - 5
Dec 27, 2025
NYR @ NYI
0 - 2
Nov 8, 2025
NYI @ NYR
5 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+52.9% more
New York: 6.4
vs
New York: 4.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+31.8% more
New York: 32.9
vs
New York: 25.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.6%
New York: 54.0%
vs
New York: 50.4%
Power Play % (L5)
+42.7%
New York: 45.3%
vs
New York: 2.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
2.9
5
NYI Score
3.6
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.1 / 15.9
12.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
54.0 / 50.4
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
22.1 / 27.8
33.0 / 47.0
Power Play %
261.0 / 4530.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.9 / 25.0
37.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
6.4 / 4.2
0.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
NYR
NYI
NYR
ML
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
60%
3-2
100%
2-0-1
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
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