DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
29-22-6 | Road
3
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
34-19-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 3.11 | 0.813 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.11
--
Save %
0.813
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
WILD
0%
RED WINGS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
DET By 1 goal
15.9%
DET By 2-3 goals
15.3%
MIN By 1 goal
18.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
22.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.84
DETROIT
Minnesota
3.16
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
MIN @ DET
5 - 4
Jan 22, 2026
DET @ MIN
3 - 4
Feb 25, 2025
DET @ MIN
3 - 2
Feb 22, 2025
MIN @ DET
4 - 3
Dec 27, 2023
DET @ MIN
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+24.7% more
Detroit: 24.0
vs
Minnesota: 18.1
Takeaways (L5)
+24.7% more
Detroit: 4.3
vs
Minnesota: 3.3
Power Play % (L5)
+20.7%
Detroit: 47.4%
vs
Minnesota: 26.7%
Faceoff % (L5)
+12.1%
Detroit: 52.8%
vs
Minnesota: 40.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.8
3
MIN Score
3.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 14.7
13.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
40.6 / 52.8
43.9 / 56.1
Hits
18.1 / 24.0
21.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
26.7 / 47.4
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.0 / 33.2
24.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 4.3
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
DET
MIN
DET
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
100%
3-0
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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