AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
76ERS
0%
BULLS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
23.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
12.4%
PHI By 1-7 points
26.8%
PHI By 8-14 points
18.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
110.58
CHICAGO
Philadelphia
112.43
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Chicago
107
CHICAGO
Philadelphia
115
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
CHI @ PHI
137 - 157
Dec 26, 2025
PHI @ CHI
102 - 109
Nov 4, 2025
PHI @ CHI
111 - 113
Apr 13, 2025
CHI @ PHI
122 - 102
Feb 24, 2025
CHI @ PHI
142 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Philadelphia: 43.9%
vs
Chicago: 41.9%
Blocks (L5)
+14.0% more
Chicago: 4.8
vs
Philadelphia: 4.1
Assists (L5)
+10.4% more
Chicago: 26.0
vs
Philadelphia: 23.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Chicago: 33.4%
vs
Philadelphia: 26.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
110.6
142
PHI Score
112.4
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.7 / 33.4
25.0 / 45.0
Assists
23.3 / 26.0
19.0 / 32.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.8
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 41.9
38.9 / 50.6
Free Throw %
86.0 / 87.1
89.7 / 94.4
Rebounding
42.0 / 44.2
47.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.5 / 8.0
11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 13.4
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CHI
PHI
CHI
ML
63%
69-40
56%
54-42
48%
45-48
57%
46-35
ATS
65%
71-38
65%
62-33-1
48%
45-48
57%
46-35
TTL
55%
60-49
58%
56-40
100%
93-0
100%
81-0