LA
CLIPPERSLAC
31-25 | Road
97
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
31-26 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
PISTONS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
27.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
20.8%
DET By 1-7 points
21.0%
DET By 8-14 points
10.1%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
122.2
LA
Detroit
118.77
DETROIT
Simulated Score
LA
107
LA
Detroit
102
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.4
D
Sim
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 241.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 209.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 10, 2026
LAC @ DET
98 - 92
Dec 28, 2025
DET @ LAC
99 - 112
Mar 5, 2025
DET @ LAC
115 - 123
Feb 24, 2025
LAC @ DET
97 - 106
Feb 10, 2024
DET @ LAC
106 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+23.1% more
LA: 11.6
vs
Detroit: 8.9
Assists (L5)
+28.5% more
Detroit: 33.1
vs
LA: 25.7
Turnovers (L5)
+22.6% more
Detroit: 16.1
vs
LA: 13.2
Blocks (L5)
+19.5% more
Detroit: 5.1
vs
LA: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
122.2
97
DET Score
118.8
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.1 / 34.0
31.0 / 26.8
Assists
33.1 / 25.7
22.0 / 24.0
Blocks
5.1 / 4.3
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.9 / 46.3
45.6 / 40.2
Free Throw %
80.3 / 80.8
69.4 / 63.2
Rebounding
45.8 / 39.4
46.0 / 48.0
Steals
8.9 / 11.6
11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 13.2
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
LAC
DET
LAC
ML
55%
64-53
60%
59-40
49%
47-49
55%
45-37
ATS
53%
60-54-3
66%
65-33-1
49%
47-49
55%
45-37
TTL
60%
70-46-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
96-0
100%
82-0
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