CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
14-41 | Road
88
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
28-28 | Home
130
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
KINGS
0%
HORNETS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
CHA By 1-7 points
22.0%
CHA By 8-14 points
11.1%
SAC By 1-7 points
27.2%
SAC By 8-14 points
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
103.62
CHARLOTTE
Sacramento
106.36
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Charlotte
120
CHARLOTTE
Sacramento
115
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.7
D
Sim
Hornets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
SAC @ CHA
90 - 134
Mar 11, 2026
CHA @ SAC
117 - 109
Apr 4, 2025
SAC @ CHA
125 - 102
Feb 24, 2025
CHA @ SAC
88 - 130
Jan 10, 2024
SAC @ CHA
123 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+29.5% more
Sacramento: 28.8
vs
Charlotte: 22.2
Turnovers (L5)
+22.5% more
Sacramento: 17.9
vs
Charlotte: 14.7
Rebounding (L5)
+12.0% more
Sacramento: 47.0
vs
Charlotte: 42.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
Sacramento: 48.2%
vs
Charlotte: 39.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
103.6
88
SAC Score
106.4
130
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 28.9
52.6 / 25.0
Assists
28.8 / 22.2
30.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.6
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 39.0
54.0 / 35.3
Free Throw %
84.1 / 81.0
88.9 / 75.0
Rebounding
47.0 / 42.0
49.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.9 / 9.7
12.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
17.9 / 14.7
18.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
CHA
SAC
CHA
ML
55%
55-45
61%
60-39
61%
50-32
48%
40-44
ATS
54%
52-45-3
60%
59-40
61%
50-32
48%
40-44
TTL
58%
57-42-1
58%
57-42
100%
82-0
100%
84-0
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