LA
CLIPPERSLAC
31-24 | Road
111
INDIANA
PACERSIND
31-23 | Home
129
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
PACERS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
PACERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
26.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
18.4%
IND By 1-7 points
23.1%
IND By 8-14 points
12.3%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
118.46
LA
Indiana
116.55
INDIANA
Simulated Score
LA
112
LA
Indiana
104
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim
Clippers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 216.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 27, 2026
LAC @ IND
114 - 113
Mar 4, 2026
IND @ LAC
107 - 130
Feb 23, 2025
LAC @ IND
111 - 129
Feb 6, 2025
IND @ LAC
119 - 112
Mar 25, 2024
IND @ LAC
133 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.6% more
LA: 12.9
vs
Indiana: 7.9
Turnovers (L5)
+25.8% more
LA: 14.3
vs
Indiana: 10.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
LA: 38.5%
vs
Indiana: 36.3%
Blocks (L5)
+40.0% more
Indiana: 6.8
vs
LA: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
118.5
111
IND Score
116.6
129
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 38.5
33.3 / 25.0
Assists
31.4 / 27.1
31.0 / 23.0
Blocks
6.8 / 4.9
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 47.1
54.8 / 44.7
Free Throw %
84.1 / 83.3
92.6 / 75.8
Rebounding
42.0 / 43.1
46.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.9 / 12.9
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 14.3
14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
IND
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
LAC
IND
LAC
ML
48%
47-50
60%
59-40
54%
45-38
55%
45-37
ATS
59%
57-40
66%
65-33-1
54%
45-38
55%
45-37
TTL
54%
52-45
59%
58-40-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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