NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
27-25-4 | Road
5
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
23-26-9 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Igor Shesterkin
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joel Blomqvist
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | None-None | 3.00 | 0.925 | -- |
| Joel Blomqvist | None-None | 4.11 | 0.733 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
4.11
0.925 Ldr
Save %
0.733
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
0%
PENGUINS
100%
RANGERS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)
NYR By 1 goal
19.7%
NYR By 2-3 goals
29.7%
PIT By 1 goal
12.0%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.04
NEW YORK
Pittsburgh
2.03
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rangers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rangers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Rangers (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
PIT @ NYR
2 - 3
Jan 31, 2026
NYR @ PIT
5 - 6
Oct 11, 2025
NYR @ PIT
6 - 1
Oct 7, 2025
PIT @ NYR
3 - 0
Feb 23, 2025
NYR @ PIT
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+32.6% more
New York: 27.2
vs
Pittsburgh: 18.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.3%
New York: 54.1%
vs
Pittsburgh: 51.9%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+16.2% more
Pittsburgh: 17.3
vs
New York: 14.9
Power Play % (L5)
+5.5%
Pittsburgh: 23.4%
vs
New York: 17.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
3.0
5
PIT Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.3 / 14.9
13.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
51.9 / 54.1
57.1 / 42.9
Hits
18.3 / 27.2
11.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
23.4 / 17.9
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
30.7 / 29.5
40.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 4.8
9.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
NYR
PIT
NYR
ML
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
ATS
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
TTL
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
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