DALLAS
STARSDAL
36-18-2 | Road
4
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
25-23-7 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 3.00 | 0.919 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 4.13 | 0.862 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
4.13
0.919 Ldr
Save %
0.862
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
STARS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
18.2%
DAL By 2-3 goals
20.7%
NYI By 1 goal
16.6%
NYI By 2-3 goals
16.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
3.42
DALLAS
New York
3.23
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Stars (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 26, 2026
DAL @ NYI
1 - 2
Nov 18, 2025
NYI @ DAL
3 - 2
Feb 23, 2025
DAL @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 12, 2024
NYI @ DAL
0 - 3
Feb 26, 2024
NYI @ DAL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+24.9%
Dallas: 28.9%
vs
New York: 3.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+90.4% more
New York: 5.1
vs
Dallas: 2.7
Hits (L5)
+18.2% more
New York: 19.2
vs
Dallas: 16.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.1%
New York: 56.3%
vs
Dallas: 52.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
3.4
4
NYI Score
3.2
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.7 / 19.1
16.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
56.3 / 52.2
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
19.2 / 16.2
28.0 / 10.0
Power Play %
3.9 / 28.9
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
30.9 / 28.8
37.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 2.7
9.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
DAL
NYI
DAL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
100%
3-0
100%
2-0-1
33%
1-2
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