Home / Liga MX Projections Liga MX / Tigres vs Atl. San Luis Tigres vs Atl. San Luis

TIGRESTIGRES

2-4-4  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Jul 25 • 11:00 PM ET
Estadio Universitario

ATL. SAN LUISATL. SAN LUIS

3-3-4  |  Away

2
AI Model Win Probability
TIGRES
54%
DRAW
28%
ATL. SAN LUIS
19%
--
DRAW --
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 11%
Under 0 89%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-0.7
TIGRES
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 goals (Tigres)
TigresTigres (+3.5) 0 Atl. San LuisAtl. San Luis (-3.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

43.4% / 56.6%

Shots (On Goal)

17(2) / 13(4)

Corners

9 / 3

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

68.0%

Cover

32.0%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Tigres UANL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Tigres UANL)

Tigres UANL By 1 goal

25.6%

Tigres UANL By 2+ goals

29.7%

Atlético de San Luis By 1 goal

14.1%

Atlético de San Luis By 2+ goals

7.1%

AI Model Projected Score
1.4
TIGRES
0.7
ATL. SAN LUIS
Simulated Score
1
TIGRES
3
ATL. SAN LUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Tigres UANL Loss
53% Win Prob
B
Sim Atlético de San Luis Loss
83% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Tigres UANL (+1.25) Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
B
Sim Atlético de San Luis (-1.25) Push
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u2.75 Win
Proj Total: 2.1
B
Sim o2.8 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 25, 2026 Tigres vs Atl. San Luis 2 - 2
Jan 11, 2026 Atl. San Luis vs Tigres 1 - 2
Nov 8, 2025 Tigres vs Atl. San Luis 3 - 1
Jan 11, 2025 Atl. San Luis vs Tigres 1 - 3
Dec 1, 2024 Tigres vs Atl. San Luis 0 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Tigres: 1.0 vs Atl. San Luis: 0.0
Losses (L5) +50.0% more
Tigres: 2.0 vs Atl. San Luis: 3.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +16.7% more
Tigres: 6.0 vs Atl. San Luis: 7.0
Goals Scored (L5) +66.7% more
Atl. San Luis: 5.0 vs Tigres: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Atlético de San Luis Score 0.7 2
Tigres UANL Score 1.4 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 53.8% Draw: 27.5% Away Win: 18.7%
Tigres UANL (Home) vs Atlético de San Luis (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 35.0% Under 2.5: 65.0%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.10
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Tigres UANL Share: 66.7% Atlético de San Luis Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 1.4 - 0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Tigres UANL
Atlético de San Luis
Tigres UANL
Atlético de San Luis
ML
40% 4-6
30% 3-7
10% 1-9
50% 5-5
ATS
72% 6-2-1
56% 5-4-1
29% 2-6-1
62% 5-3-2
TTL
30% 3-7
32% 3-6
50% 5-5
68% 6-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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