SANTOSSANTOS
6-1-7 | Home
0
ATLASATLAS
7-3-4 | Away
1
AI Model Win Probability
SANTOS
31%
DRAW
28%
ATLAS
41%
--
DRAW
--
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
10%
Under 0
90%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-0.2
ATLAS
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 goals (Atlas)
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
56.1% / 43.9%
Shots (On Goal)
11(1) / 11(5)
Corners
5 / 5
Cards (Y/R)
2/0 - 1/0
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Atlas -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Atlas)
Santos By 1 goal
19.2%
Santos By 2+ goals
12.9%
Atlas By 1 goal
22.8%
Atlas By 2+ goals
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Santos
1.1
SANTOS
Atlas
1.3
ATLAS
Simulated Score
Santos
1
SANTOS
Atlas
2
ATLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Santos
Win
42% Win Prob
C
Sim
Atlas
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Atlas (+0.25)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Atlas (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u2.5
Win
Proj Total: 2.4
B
Sim
o2.5
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 25, 2026
Santos vs Atlas
0 - 1
Apr 19, 2026
Santos vs Atlas
0 - 1
Sep 13, 2025
Atlas vs Santos
2 - 2
Feb 23, 2025
Santos vs Atlas
2 - 0
Jul 16, 2024
Atlas vs Santos
1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5)
+100.0% more
Atlas: 2.0
vs
Santos: 1.0
Losses (L5)
+50.0% more
Atlas: 2.0
vs
Santos: 3.0
Goals Scored (L5)
+20.0% more
Atlas: 6.0
vs
Santos: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Atlas Score
1.3
1
Santos Score
1.1
0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Santos (Home)
vs
Atlas (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 2.40
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
1.1 - 1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Santos
Atlas
Santos
Atlas
ML
50%
7-7
57%
8-6
71%
10-4
50%
7-7
ATS
38%
5-8-1
58%
7-5-1
69%
9-4-1
48%
6-6-1
TTL
65%
8-4-1
64%
9-5
54%
7-6-1
43%
6-8