GUADALAJARAGUADALAJARA
5-3-2 | Home
1
JUÁREZJUÁREZ
1-0-9 | Away
0
AI Model Win Probability
GUADALAJARA
35%
DRAW
26%
JUÁREZ
39%
--
DRAW
--
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
22%
Under 0
78%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-0.1
JUÁREZ
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 goals (Juárez)
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
77.6% / 22.4%
Shots (On Goal)
22(8) / 6(0)
Corners
19 / 2
Cards (Y/R)
1/0 - 2/0
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around FC Juárez -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FC Juárez)
Guadalajara By 1 goal
20.2%
Guadalajara By 2+ goals
14.3%
FC Juárez By 1 goal
22.0%
FC Juárez By 2+ goals
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Guadalajara
1.3
GUADALAJARA
Juárez
1.4
JUÁREZ
Simulated Score
Guadalajara
2
GUADALAJARA
Juárez
1
JUÁREZ
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guadalajara
Loss
41% Win Prob
C
Sim
Guadalajara
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
FC Juárez (+1)
Push
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
FC Juárez (-1)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u3.0
Win
Proj Total: 2.7
B
Sim
u3.0
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 25, 2026
Guadalajara vs Juárez
1 - 0
Jul 2, 2022
Guadalajara vs Juárez
0 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5)
+100.0% more
Guadalajara: 1.0
vs
Juárez: 0.0
Losses (L5)
+33.3% more
Guadalajara: 3.0
vs
Juárez: 4.0
Goals Conceded (L5)
+22.2% more
Guadalajara: 9.0
vs
Juárez: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FC Juárez Score
1.4
0
Guadalajara Score
1.3
1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Guadalajara (Home)
vs
FC Juárez (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 2.70
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
1.3 - 1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Guadalajara
FC Juárez
Guadalajara
FC Juárez
ML
50%
5-5
60%
6-4
60%
6-4
70%
7-3
ATS
86%
6-1-3
38%
3-5-2
57%
4-3-3
78%
7-2-1
TTL
83%
7-1-1
56%
5-4-1
56%
5-4-1
78%
7-2-1