MONTERREYMONTERREY
4-1-4 | Home
3
SANTOSSANTOS
3-1-6 | Away
2
AI Model Win Probability
MONTERREY
57%
DRAW
18%
SANTOS
25%
--
DRAW
--
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
93%
Under 0
7%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
+0.9
SANTOS
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
56.3% / 43.7%
Shots (On Goal)
19(13) / 11(3)
Corners
5 / 5
Cards (Y/R)
0/0 - 0/0
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Santos +0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Santos)
Monterrey By 1 goal
26.1%
Monterrey By 2+ goals
34.5%
Santos By 1 goal
12.1%
Santos By 2+ goals
5.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Monterrey
2.7
MONTERREY
Santos
1.8
SANTOS
Simulated Score
Monterrey
3
MONTERREY
Santos
0
SANTOS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Monterrey
Win
95% Win Prob
A
Sim
Monterrey
Win
94% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Santos (+1.25)
Win
Proj Goals: +0.9
C
Sim
Monterrey (-1.25)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o3.25
Win
Proj Total: 4.5
A
Sim
u3.3
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 18, 2026
Monterrey vs Santos
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
H2H Wins
+200.0% more
Monterrey: 3.0
vs
Santos: 1.0
Draws (L5)
+100.0% more
Monterrey: 1.0
vs
Santos: 0.0
Losses (L5)
+50.0% more
Monterrey: 2.0
vs
Santos: 3.0
H2H Goals Scored
+40.0% more
Monterrey: 7.0
vs
Santos: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Santos Score
1.8
2
Monterrey Score
2.7
3
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Monterrey (Home)
vs
Santos (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 4.50
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
2.7 - 1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Monterrey
Santos
Monterrey
Santos
ML
44%
4-5
50%
5-5
44%
4-5
70%
7-3
ATS
53%
4-4
44%
4-5-1
44%
4-5
67%
6-3-1
TTL
44%
4-5
68%
6-3
44%
4-5
47%
4-5