UNAMUNAM
3-3-4 | Home
0
PACHUCAPACHUCA
1-2-3 | Away
3
AI Model Win Probability
UNAM
3%
DRAW
10%
PACHUCA
87%
--
DRAW
--
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
84%
Under 0
16%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-2.4
PACHUCA
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 goals (Pachuca)
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
61.0% / 39.0%
Shots (On Goal)
9(1) / 15(6)
Corners
9 / 4
Cards (Y/R)
1/0 - 0/0
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Pachuca -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Pachuca)
Pumas UNAM By 1 goal
2.2%
Pumas UNAM By 2+ goals
0.5%
Pachuca By 1 goal
17.2%
Pachuca By 2+ goals
72.6%
AI Model Projected Score
UNAM
0.4
UNAM
Pachuca
2.8
PACHUCA
Simulated Score
UNAM
UNAM
Pachuca
PACHUCA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pachuca
Win
99% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pachuca (-0.25)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.4
A
Sim
Proj Goals:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o2.5
Win
Proj Total: 3.2
B
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 18, 2026
UNAM vs Pachuca
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5)
+200.0% more
Pachuca: 3.0
vs
UNAM: 1.0
Goals Conceded (L5)
+100.0% more
Pachuca: 3.0
vs
UNAM: 6.0
H2H Wins
+50.0% more
Pachuca: 3.0
vs
UNAM: 2.0
H2H Goals Scored
+16.7% more
Pachuca: 7.0
vs
UNAM: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Pachuca Score
2.8
3
Pumas UNAM Score
0.4
0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Pumas UNAM (Home)
vs
Pachuca (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 3.20
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
0.4 - 2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Pumas UNAM
Pachuca
Pumas UNAM
Pachuca
ML
50%
5-5
40%
4-6
22%
2-7
22%
2-7
ATS
47%
4-5
78%
7-2-1
12%
1-7
22%
2-7
TTL
68%
6-3
50%
5-5
65%
5-3
22%
2-7