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TIJUANATIJUANA

4-2-3  |  Home

3
FINAL
Thu, Jul 16 • 11:10 PM ET
Estadio Caliente

TIGRESTIGRES

2-4-4  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
TIJUANA
24%
DRAW
27%
TIGRES
49%
--
DRAW --
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
+0.5
TIJUANA
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
TijuanaTijuana (+3.5) 0 TigresTigres (-3.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

51.3% / 48.7%

Shots (On Goal)

15(7) / 8(4)

Corners

1 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 4/1

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

36.9%

Cover

63.1%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Tijuana +0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Tijuana)

Tijuana By 1 goal

16.1%

Tijuana By 2+ goals

9.1%

Tigres UANL By 1 goal

24.8%

Tigres UANL By 2+ goals

25.2%

AI Model Projected Score
0.9
TIJUANA
1.4
TIGRES
Simulated Score
1
TIJUANA
2
TIGRES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigres UANL Loss
38% Win Prob
C
Sim Tigres UANL Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tijuana (+0.5) Win
Proj Goals: +0.5
D
Sim Tigres UANL (+0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 2.3
A
Sim u9.0 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 16, 2026 Tijuana vs Tigres 3 - 1
Apr 11, 2026 Tigres vs Tijuana 4 - 1
Apr 3, 2026 Tijuana vs Tigres 1 - 0
Nov 29, 2025 Tigres vs Tijuana 5 - 0
Nov 27, 2025 Tijuana vs Tigres 3 - 0
Key Model Drivers
H2H Goals Scored +75.0% more
Tigres: 7.0 vs Tijuana: 4.0
H2H Goals Conceded +75.0% more
Tigres: 4.0 vs Tijuana: 7.0
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Tijuana: 2.0 vs Tigres: 1.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Tijuana: 0.0 vs Tigres: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Tigres UANL Score 1.4 1
Tijuana Score 0.9 3
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 24.2% Draw: 27.2% Away Win: 48.6%
Tijuana (Home) vs Tigres UANL (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 40.4% Under 2.5: 59.6%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.30
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Tijuana Share: 39.1% Tigres UANL Share: 60.9%
AI Projected Score 0.9 - 1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Tijuana
Tigres UANL
ML
22% 2-7
40% 4-6
44% 4-5
10% 1-9
ATS
75% 6-2-1
72% 6-2-1
50% 4-4-1
29% 2-6-1
TTL
67% 6-3
30% 3-7
44% 4-5
50% 5-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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