PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
26-29 | Road
121
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
22-34 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
BULLS
100%
SUNS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.8
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.8 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -5.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
27.0%
PHX By 8-14 points
24.0%
CHI By 1-7 points
17.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
7.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
113.43
PHOENIX
Chicago
107.68
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Phoenix
122
PHOENIX
Chicago
113
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.8
D
Sim
Suns (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
PHX @ CHI
120 - 110
Mar 5, 2026
CHI @ PHX
105 - 103
Mar 19, 2025
CHI @ PHX
121 - 127
Feb 22, 2025
PHX @ CHI
121 - 117
Jan 22, 2024
CHI @ PHX
113 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+12.8% more
Phoenix: 28.1
vs
Chicago: 24.5
Blocks (L5)
+11.0% more
Phoenix: 5.8
vs
Chicago: 5.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Phoenix: 46.9%
vs
Chicago: 41.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.8%
Phoenix: 83.5%
vs
Chicago: 80.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
113.4
121
CHI Score
107.7
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 35.7
34.0 / 33.3
Assists
24.5 / 28.1
29.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.2 / 5.8
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 46.9
41.8 / 48.3
Free Throw %
80.7 / 83.5
100.0 / 89.3
Rebounding
43.8 / 41.5
45.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.4 / 6.5
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.6 / 15.3
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
PHX
CHI
PHX
ML
56%
54-42
57%
60-45
57%
46-35
51%
45-43
ATS
65%
62-33-1
58%
59-43-3
57%
46-35
51%
45-43
TTL
58%
56-40
59%
61-42-2
100%
81-0
100%
88-0
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