CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
14-40 | Road
88
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
23-33 | Home
141
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
HORNETS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
CHA By 1-7 points
23.7%
CHA By 8-14 points
13.0%
POR By 1-7 points
26.5%
POR By 8-14 points
17.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
108.15
CHARLOTTE
Portland
109.59
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Charlotte
112
CHARLOTTE
Portland
115
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trail Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.4
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
CHA @ POR
103 - 101
Feb 28, 2026
POR @ CHA
93 - 109
Feb 22, 2025
CHA @ POR
88 - 141
Jan 24, 2025
POR @ CHA
102 - 97
Apr 3, 2024
POR @ CHA
89 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+75.9% more
Portland: 5.8
vs
Charlotte: 3.3
Steals (L5)
+16.7% more
Portland: 9.9
vs
Charlotte: 8.5
Turnovers (L5)
+13.0% more
Portland: 15.2
vs
Charlotte: 13.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Portland: 44.6%
vs
Charlotte: 41.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
108.2
88
POR Score
109.6
141
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 35.5
46.5 / 15.6
Assists
25.4 / 23.8
37.0 / 19.0
Blocks
5.8 / 3.3
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 41.1
58.6 / 34.7
Free Throw %
74.9 / 85.7
70.4 / 71.4
Rebounding
39.6 / 44.4
57.0 / 37.0
Steals
9.9 / 8.5
11.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 13.5
19.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
POR
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
CHA
POR
CHA
ML
53%
56-49
61%
60-39
55%
49-40
48%
40-44
ATS
62%
65-39-1
60%
59-40
55%
49-40
48%
40-44
TTL
56%
58-46-1
58%
57-42
100%
89-0
100%
84-0
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