MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
33-19-4 | Road
4
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
28-22-5 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Marc-Andre Fleury
#29 | G@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury | None-None | 2.88 | 0.900 | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.88
GAA
--
0.900
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
100%
RED WINGS
0%
WILD
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
MIN By 1 goal
15.6%
MIN By 2-3 goals
14.7%
DET By 1 goal
18.8%
DET By 2-3 goals
22.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.57
MINNESOTA
Detroit
2.95
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
MIN @ DET
5 - 4
Jan 22, 2026
DET @ MIN
3 - 4
Feb 25, 2025
DET @ MIN
3 - 2
Feb 22, 2025
MIN @ DET
4 - 3
Dec 27, 2023
DET @ MIN
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+62.4% more
Detroit: 5.5
vs
Minnesota: 3.4
Hits (L5)
+32.3% more
Detroit: 21.9
vs
Minnesota: 16.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.2% more
Detroit: 32.8
vs
Minnesota: 28.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.4%
Detroit: 48.3%
vs
Minnesota: 40.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.6
4
DET Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 16.4
18.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
48.3 / 40.9
60.0 / 40.0
Hits
21.9 / 16.6
22.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
30.4 / 23.4
40.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
32.8 / 28.5
30.0 / 39.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 3.4
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIN
DET
MIN
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-3
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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