NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
27-24-4 | Road
2
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
22-27-5 | Home
8
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 4.32 | 0.824 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 2.00 | 0.929 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.32
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.824
Save %
Ldr 0.929
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
SABRES
0%
RANGERS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
NYR By 1 goal
16.4%
NYR By 2-3 goals
16.1%
BUF By 1 goal
18.4%
BUF By 2-3 goals
21.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.39
NEW YORK
Buffalo
3.63
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
BUF @ NYR
5 - 3
Jan 8, 2026
BUF @ NYR
5 - 2
Oct 9, 2025
NYR @ BUF
4 - 0
Feb 22, 2025
NYR @ BUF
2 - 8
Dec 11, 2024
NYR @ BUF
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+33.4% more
Buffalo: 4.3
vs
New York: 3.2
Power Play % (L5)
+5.3%
Buffalo: 19.7%
vs
New York: 14.4%
Hits (L5)
+14.4% more
New York: 26.7
vs
Buffalo: 22.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.0%
New York: 56.6%
vs
Buffalo: 48.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
3.4
2
BUF Score
3.6
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 16.8
19.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
48.6 / 56.6
50.8 / 49.2
Hits
22.9 / 26.7
29.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
19.7 / 14.4
33.3 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
28.7 / 30.2
33.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 3.2
4.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
NYR
BUF
NYR
ML
67%
2-1
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
33%
1-2
80%
4-1
100%
3-0
60%
3-2
TTL
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
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